Fundamentally the basic discriminates for determining the likelihood of official government psywar and propaganda effort around SOM1-01 fail. Ask yourself these questions: Are the risks low and the trade-offs worthwhile? No. If the documents are to be believed, they would engender extraordinary espionage against an extraordinary target like Area 51 or inside the CIA or NSA a counterintelligence nightmare. The documents are rich in provocative detail. If they are not to be believed, how could they be worth the intensive investment allegedly made to fake them? Is there an established relationship between the purported target(s) and the psywar fakers?
Scarcely, unless we think someone in the U.S. wanted to dangle “alien spacecraft” stories in front of Cold War adversaries, possibly to mask other secrets (or to convince the Soviets that the U.S. was incapacitated with hallucinogens and not worth the trouble of overtaking?). What would be the purpose of releasing these documents in the 1990’s… to deal with Cold War problems that fell with the Berlin Wall? Is the target(s) reaction predictable and dependable? No, except perhaps guffaws of laughter. If the Majestic documents are not truthful, the debunkers’ own arguments that they are ludicrous presumably would not escape the amusement of officers of Soviet State security and military intelligence. There must be good reasons to create and leak fake UFO documents and have them touch the public domain.
Is there a purpose for this psywar effort that can be clearly stated?
No, the content is too varied and a multitude objectives seem to be present — as would be the case with genuine documents written by different authors over a course of years. Most documents were publicly released well after the height of the Cold War and could have had no reasonable effect on the outcome. Does the internal quality of the documents establish believability in the eyes of the deception target?) Not likely. The same critique of alleged “errors” that debunkers have raised would also have dissuaded intelligence adversaries looking at such inherently incredible material.
Allegations that the Majestic documents are dismissed with the spooky label of “psywar” do not withstand scrutiny. One may speculate, as discussed in the recently published book “Mind Shift,” that there may be a systematic desensitization of the world public to the idea of extraterrestrial contact through a variety of media outlets — with movies such as “Independence Day,” TV programs, print articles, advertisements, and the proliferation of little alien figures in toy stores and popular culture. Psywar and propaganda may well be at play in the public’s mind. Yet, there is no sensible evidence to support the assertion that the Majestic documents are mere fakes and derive from psywar operations targeting Cold War adversaries.